I'm a Stock Trader

One position is a single session away from becoming a problem

The portfolio has winners carrying real weight — but one name across 14 positions hasn't moved an inch.
Scoreboard Update
EXPERIMENT UPDATE — Day 83 System: +10.7% | SPY (same window): +0.0% | Alpha: +10.7% Win rate: 0% (0/24) Open positions: CRNX (day 85, +1.2%), CRNX (day 80, +0.9%), CRNX (day 79, +0.8%), CRNX (day 78, +0.6%), CRNX (day 77, +0.5%), CRNX (day 76, +0.4%), CRNX (day 73, +0.3%), CRNX (day 72, +0.2%), CRNX (day 71, +0.2%), CRNX (day 70, +0.3%), CRNX (day 69, +0.2%), CRNX (day 66, +0.2%), CRNX (day 62, +0.1%), CRNX (day 59, -0.0%), TEAM (day 50, +22.4%), TEAM (day 49, +21.2%), HURN (day 30, +21.9%), HTFL (day 29, +17.1%), TEAM (day 28, +18.1%), RNG (day 22, +11.3%), RNG (day 21, +10.7%), HTFL (day 17, +16.6%), HTFL (day 16, +17.4%), HTFL (day 10, +17.1%), PSIX (day 2, +1.0%), P (day 1, -1.2%)

Today's market and our positions

CRNX is doing the most frustrating thing a stock can do — nothing. Fourteen open positions in the name, all entered between $83.93 and $84.99, every single one still sitting at those exact prices right now. Every single one showing +0.00%. SPY put up +0.48% today, so on a relative basis, those positions are quietly bleeding alpha. That's the honest read. Flip to the other side of the book, though, and the picture changes fast. TEAM, HURN, HTFL, and RNG are doing exactly what we wanted them to do when the Relative Strength Engine put them on. A few names are carrying the weight — and right now, they're earning it.

What our open trades are doing

Start with TEAM, because TEAM deserves it. Three tranches open: day 50 (+21.95%), day 49 (+20.75%), day 28 (+17.73%). The stock sits at $219.34 against entries ranging from $179.86 to $186.31. The Relative Strength Engine kept adding as the name kept working, and that discipline is showing up in the numbers. HURN is on day 30 at +21.89% from $158.90 — now $193.68, holding clean. HTFL has four tranches open (days 29, 17, 16, and 10), all clustered in the $50.35–$50.70 entry range, all sitting in the +16–18% zone at $59.10. Consistent, not flashy — which is exactly the point. RNG has two tranches — day 22 (+11.47%) and day 21 (+10.81%) — and notably, both put up positive alpha today even as SPY dipped slightly in their comparison windows. That's what good positioning looks like. PSIX is new, day 2, +0.96% — too early to say anything meaningful, so we won't. P is day 1 at -1.20% from $140.28, now $138.60. One red day on a fresh position isn't a verdict, but it earns a spot on the watch list immediately. And then there's the elephant. CRNX: fourteen positions, zero movement. We're not going to pretend that doesn't look strange. The Relative Strength Engine put them on, the stock hasn't gone anywhere, and now we're watching to see whether the thesis eventually gets confirmed — or doesn't.

Today's closed trades, post-mortem

No trades closed today. Nothing to post-mortem. The book is exactly what it was this morning, carrying the same open questions it woke up with.

What could change by tomorrow's open

P opened soft and could get softer. A day-2 stop is a tight leash — we'll know quickly whether the Relative Strength Engine's thesis on that name holds or gets cut. CRNX is the longer-duration question, and it's getting harder to ignore. Fourteen positions in a stock that isn't moving means capital sitting still while the market put up +0.48% today. If CRNX doesn't start cooperating, the alpha drag accumulates quietly — and then not so quietly. SPY at $773.36 is worth noting: the broader tape was constructive, which makes CRNX's flatness more conspicuous, not less. If the market opens firm again tomorrow and CRNX still doesn't participate, that's not noise. That's information.

What we're watching tomorrow

The morning scan runs before the open. With P already shaky on day 1 and CRNX parked flat across 14 positions, the Relative Strength Engine is going to have some decisions to make. We'll see what the overnight tape hands us.

See how the system backtests →

How our rebuilt system performs against the S&P 500 in testing — year by year, with the honest caveats.


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