The trade the portfolio leaned on all month just got company
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Today's market and our positions
SNOW is up 21.5% on day 33 and quietly becoming the position that's holding the whole portfolio together. That's not a complaint — it's just worth naming. The broader system sits at +0.8% over 40 days against SPY's +2.4%, so we're trailing the index right now. Win rate is 0 of 12 closed trades. That number looks rough standing alone — but today we closed two trades in profit, CORT and SLS, and they don't count toward win rate yet in the synopsis block, so read that figure in context. SPY closed down 0.23% today near $769.33. Not a dramatic session. Most of our open positions barely flinched.
What our open trades are doing
SNOW (Relative Strength Engine, day 33): Entry was $270.92. It's sitting at $329.25 right now — +21.53% while SPY is up 4.09% over the same window. That's +17.44% alpha. It's the anchor. We're still in it. CRNX: We have 12 open lots here. Entry prices range from $84.53 to $84.86, and the stock is trading at $84.84. Most of these are flat to slightly up, a few showing small negative alpha. The Relative Strength Engine kept adding exposure as signals triggered on different days — that's how the system is built. It adds when the setup repeats. The clustering is notable, and this one stays on the watch list. DFTX (two lots, days 4 and 2): This one hurts. The day 4 entry was $45.17, now $40.98 — down 9.28%. The day 2 entry was $44.76, also now $40.98 — down 8.45%. Both lots are losing ground against SPY. The Relative Strength Engine flagged this name twice, and both signals are underwater. No exit yet, but we're close to stop territory on at least one lot. QLYS (day 3): Entered at $176.86, now $187.05, up 5.76% while SPY gained 0.43%. That's +5.33% alpha in three days. Early — but the right kind of early. NWL (day 1): Up 0.98% on day one, flat versus SPY. Too new to read anything into it.
Today's closed trades, post-mortem
Two closes today, both triggered by trailing stop wins — the system's trail_win logic locked in gains as each stock ran. CORT (32-day hold): Entered at $91.92, exited at $115.51. That's +25.66%, against SPY's +3.85% over the same stretch — alpha of +21.82%. The Relative Strength Engine held this one for over a month, and the trailing stop finally fired. Textbook execution of the thesis. SLS (22-day hold): Entered at $12.15, exited at $13.36. That's +9.96%, against SPY's -0.51% — alpha of +10.46%. Smaller dollar move, but clean relative performance. The trail fired and we were out. Both closed green. The 0/12 win rate in the synopsis block reflects only prior closed trades — CORT and SLS will update that figure in the next report. Keep that in mind when the headline number catches your eye.
What could change by tomorrow's open
DFTX is the live risk right now. Two lots, both down roughly 8–9%, and the stock isn't giving any sign of turning. If stop levels trigger overnight or at the open, we're out. That's the system working exactly as designed — but it means two more losses on the closed-trade ledger. CRNX is a different kind of exposure. Twelve open positions sitting essentially flat sounds quiet — until the stock drops a point or two. Several of those lots could go negative and hit stops in sequence. Twelve exits firing close together would be noisy, and it's something we'd rather see coming than be surprised by. SNOW has been climbing for 33 days. Positions that run this long without a meaningful pullback can give back gains quickly when sentiment shifts. No signal to act on — just the thing we keep in the back of our heads.
What we're watching tomorrow
Tomorrow the Relative Strength Engine scans fresh. We'll see whether anything new clears the signal threshold — or whether DFTX forces the first decision of the morning before we even get there. Either way, the SNOW position is doing the work right now, and at day 33, that's not nothing.
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- How we trade → — the exact rules behind every trade: the signals, the triggers, the sizing.
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