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One name is carrying nine positions into tomorrow's open

The book has real winners — but one concentrated bet could move everything at once.
Scoreboard Update
EXPERIMENT UPDATE — Day 38 System: +1.3% | SPY (same window): +2.0% | Alpha: -0.7% Win rate: 0% (0/10) Open positions: SNOW (day 31, +16.4%), CORT (day 30, +30.3%), CRNX (day 22, +1.1%), SLS (day 20, +13.0%), CRNX (day 17, +0.7%), CRNX (day 16, +0.7%), CRNX (day 15, +0.4%), CRNX (day 14, +0.4%), CRNX (day 13, +0.3%), CRNX (day 10, +0.2%), CRNX (day 9, +0.1%), CRNX (day 8, +0.1%), CRNX (day 7, +0.1%), CRNX (day 6, +0.1%), CRNX (day 3, +0.1%), DFTX (day 2, -3.1%), QLYS (day 1, -0.1%)

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Today's market and our positions

CORT is up 30% and SNOW is up nearly 17%. Those two names are doing a lot of heavy lifting — because the scoreboard still shows a gap. Day 38, and the system trails SPY by -0.7% alpha. Not a disaster, but not where we want to be either. SPY closed at $766.76, up a quiet +0.11% on the session. Nothing dramatic in either direction — just another low-volume drift day. The Relative Strength Engine is currently running 17 open positions, which is a full book. Nine of them are CRNX, entered at slightly different prices on different days. We'll get to that.

What our open trades are doing

CORT is the standout — and it isn't close. Entered at $91.92 on day 30, it's now sitting at $119.80, good for +30.33% while SPY gained just +3.40% over the same window. That's nearly 27 percentage points of alpha in a single name. This is exactly the kind of divergence the Relative Strength Engine is built to find. It found it here. SNOW (day 31, +16.84% vs SPY +3.65%) is running the same playbook. Entry at $270.92, now $316.55 — up more when the market rises, holding ground when it doesn't. That's relative strength working the way it's supposed to. SLS is quieter, but don't overlook it. Entry $12.15, now $13.75, up +13.17% on day 20 — while SPY is down -0.93% over that same stretch. SLS has simply been doing its own thing, completely disconnected from the index. That's the definition of what this engine is hunting. CRNX is a different conversation. Nine separate entries, all in the $84–$85 range, all sitting essentially flat — gains of 0.07% to 1.08% depending on the entry day. The engine kept flagging this name as it requalified on a rolling basis, so exposure kept building. That's by design, not a glitch. But it means CRNX now has an outsized footprint in this book. If CRNX moves, it moves the whole portfolio. That's not a problem yet. It's just something you need to know going into tomorrow. DFTX (day 2, -3.10%) is the one position with a red flag on it. Entry $45.17, now $43.77 — a -3.10% loss against a flat SPY day. Two days old and already underwater. We're watching whether it finds support or keeps fading. QLYS (day 1, -0.11%) is essentially unchanged on its first day out. Nothing to read into yet.

Today's closed trades, post-mortem

No trades closed today. Nothing to post-mortem. The book stayed exactly as-is, which means every unrealized gain and every unrealized loss rolls into tomorrow untouched.

What could change by tomorrow's open

The CRNX concentration is the dominant risk in this book right now. Nine correlated positions in a name that has barely moved means one bad gap down tomorrow morning clips across the entire portfolio at once — not one position, nine of them. That's the thing to hold in your head when the open prints. DFTX is the secondary concern. It's new enough that there's no clear verdict yet, but another down day and that one starts to get uncomfortable. The good news is that CORT and SNOW have built enough of a cushion that a rough open doesn't immediately threaten either name. The core of the book is strong. It's the edges — CRNX's weight and DFTX's direction — that need watching.

What we're watching tomorrow

Tomorrow morning the Relative Strength Engine scans fresh. Whether DFTX gets more rope or gets cut depends entirely on where it opens. And if CRNX finally makes a decisive move in either direction, it'll matter more than any single line item on the board — because it essentially is nine line items. We'll see what the overnight brings.

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